The prediction model updated after a -87% second-weekend drop, which tightened the range. The wider range of $17M–$23M accounts for 90% of outcomes after the 2nd weekend.
$21M
Baseline
Drama Original — 3.00 baseline opening
0%
CinemaScore
A: Drama avg is A
+5%
Audience
Exceptional — RT 99%, IMDB 7.4
-3%
Seasonality
Summer Early
0%
Sequel
Original
0%
Release Day
Friday (standard)
-13%
2nd Weekend
-87% drop
+11%
Genre
Drama Original legs
Box office performance
Date
Rank
Gross
Daily Chg
Weekly Chg
Total
Theaters
Average
Days
Thu May 7 (p)
#2
$2.2M
—
—
$2.2M
2,350
$936
0
Fri May 8
#4
$4.5M
—
—
$4.5M
2,613
$2K
1
Sat May 9
#7
$1.7M
-62%
—
$6.3M
2,613
$665
2
Sun May 10
#8
$753K
-57%
—
$7.0M
2,613
$288
3
Mon May 11
—
$412K
-45%
—
$7.4M
2,613
$157
4
Tue May 12
#8
$480K
+17%
—
$7.9M
2,613
$184
5
Wed May 13
#9
$334K
-30%
—
$8.2M
2,613
$128
6
Thu May 14
—
$258K
-23%
—
$8.5M
2,613
$99
7
Fri May 15
—
$267K
+4%
-94%
$8.8M
2,613
$102
8
Sat May 16
#13
$354K
+33%
-80%
$9.1M
2,613
$136
9
Sun May 17
#13
$292K
-17%
-61%
$9.4M
2,613
$112
10
Mon May 18
#11
$121K
-59%
-71%
$9.5M
2,613
$46
11
Tue May 19
#11
$151K
+25%
-68%
$9.7M
2,613
$58
12
Wed May 20
#10
$149K
-2%
-56%
$9.8M
2,613
$57
13
Thu May 21
#12
$72K
-52%
-72%
$9.9M
2,613
$27
14
Weekend
Rank
Gross
Chg
Total
Theaters
Average
Wks
May 8-10 (opening)
5
$7.0M
—
$7.0M
2,613
$3K
1
May 15-17
13
$914K
-87%
$9.4M
2,613
$350
2
Performance Charts
Daily Gross
Cumulative Total
Weekend Gross Trend
Theater Count
Week-over-Week Drop
Weekly Gross Decline (%)
Cast & Crew
Directed byJames Cameron, Billie Eilish
ScreenplayTarik Mikou
Produced byLightstorm Entertainment, Darkroom Records, Interscope Films